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The Colton Index

College Basketball Ratings (formerly the JCI)

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 1 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

Recap: The 3 Seeds
12. Stanford
11. Texas
10. Wisconsin
9. Arizona

Recap: The 2 Seeds
8. Illinois
7. Florida
6. Kentucky
5. North Carolina

THE ONE SEEDS
4. Michigan St - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 247-94; JCI Rk: 4 (Prev Rk:5); SOS: 3
2007-08: 27-9; JCI Rk: 15; SOS: 24; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 115-52; JCI Rk: 14; SOS: 9
First 5 Years: 132-42; JCI Rk: 2; SOS: 2
NCAA Apperances: 10 (24 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 4
Elite 8's: 5
Sweet 16's: 6

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0827-91524S16
2006-0723-122420L2
2005-0621-122910L1
2004-0526-756F4
2003-0418-124834L1
2002-0322-13214E8
2001-0218-123817L1
2000-0128-5417F4
1999-0032-713NC
1998-9932-535F4

3. Connecticut - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 255-82; JCI Rk: 3 (Prev Rk:3); SOS: 20
2007-08: 24-9; JCI Rk: 28; SOS: 52; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 127-41; JCI Rk: 9; SOS: 25
First 5 Years: 128-41; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 20
NCAA Apperances: 8 (22 wins)
National Championships: 2
Final Fours: 2
Elite 8's: 4
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0824-92852L1
2006-0717-149576None
2005-0630-428E8
2004-0523-82134L2
2003-0433-6211NC
2002-0323-101515S16
2001-0227-7518E8
2000-0119-125567None
1999-0025-102012L2
1998-9934-2115NC

2. Kansas
Last 10 Years: 267-71; JCI Rk: 2 (Prev Rk:4); SOS: 18
2007-08: 36-3; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 6; Tourney: NC
Last 5 Years: 139-32; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 30
First 5 Years: 128-39; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 15
NCAA Apperances: 10 (25 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 5
Sweet 16's: 6

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0836-316NC
2006-0733-5549E8
2005-0624-82874L1
2004-0523-71522L1
2003-0423-92027E8
2002-0328-851F4
2001-0231-428F4
2000-0124-71235S16
1999-0023-102620L2
1998-9922-102950L2

1. Duke
Last 10 Years: 298-55; JCI Rk: 1 (Prev Rk:1); SOS: 4
2007-08: 28-6; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 27; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 140-33; JCI Rk: 2; SOS: 3
First 5 Years: 158-22; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 7
NCAA Apperances: 10 (26 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 8

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0828-6827L2
2006-0722-113121L1
2005-0632-4314S16
2004-0527-648S16
2003-0431-647F4
2002-0326-71026S16
2001-0231-4430S16
2000-0135-411NC
1999-0029-5222S16
1998-9937-229F4

posted by Jim Colton @ 11:07 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 2 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

Recap: The 3 Seeds
12. Stanford
11. Texas
10. Wisconsin
9. Arizona

THE TWO SEEDS
8. Illinois - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 242-99; JCI Rk: 8 (Prev Rk:8); SOS: 8
2007-08: 16-19; JCI Rk: 91; SOS: 34; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 128-47; JCI Rk: 10; SOS: 31
First 5 Years: 114-52; JCI Rk: 11; SOS: 5
NCAA Apperances: 8 (15 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0816-199134None
2006-0723-125051L1
2005-0626-71237L2
2004-0537-2111F4
2003-0426-71739S16
2002-0325-71241L2
2001-0226-91015S16
2000-0127-854E8
1999-0022-10198L2
1998-9914-18462None

7. Florida
Last 10 Years: 258-83; JCI Rk: 7 (Prev Rk:9); SOS: 21
2007-08: 24-12; JCI Rk: 52; SOS: 94; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 136-42; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 15
First 5 Years: 122-41; JCI Rk: 10; SOS: 27
NCAA Apperances: 9 (22 wins)
National Championships: 2
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0824-125294None
2006-0735-525NC
2005-0633-615NC
2004-0524-82245L2
2003-0420-112713L1
2002-0325-81435L2
2001-0222-92635L1
2000-0124-71442L2
1999-0029-8410F4
1998-9922-92143S16

6. Kentucky - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 244-92; JCI Rk: 6 (Prev Rk:2); SOS: 2
2007-08: 18-13; JCI Rk: 58; SOS: 47; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 117-49; JCI Rk: 12; SOS: 5
First 5 Years: 127-43; JCI Rk: 6; SOS: 1
NCAA Apperances: 10 (17 wins)
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0818-135847L1
2006-0722-12171L2
2005-0622-13244L2
2004-0528-6725E8
2003-0427-5724L2
2002-0332-429E8
2001-0221-10174S16
2000-0124-10106S16
1999-0022-10155L2
1998-9928-978E8

5. North Carolina - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 241-100; JCI Rk: 5 (Prev Rk:7); SOS: 1
2007-08: 36-3; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 8; Tourney: F4
Last 5 Years: 142-33; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 1
First 5 Years: 99-67; JCI Rk: 22; SOS: 6
NCAA Apperances: 8 (20 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 4
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0836-338F4
2006-0731-777E8
2005-0623-81928L2
2004-0533-421NC
2003-0419-11143L2
2002-0319-164611None
2001-028-201537None
2000-0126-7616L2
1999-0022-14244F4
1998-9924-101520L1

posted by Jim Colton @ 11:05 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 3 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

THE THREE SEEDS
12. Stanford
Last 10 Years: 233-83; JCI Rk: 12 (Prev Rk:11); SOS: 34
2007-08: 28-8; JCI Rk: 9; SOS: 10; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 110-50; JCI Rk: 25; SOS: 45
First 5 Years: 123-33; JCI Rk: 7; SOS: 29
NCAA Apperances: 9 (10 wins)
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 2

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0828-8910S16
2006-0718-135215L1
2005-0616-147662None
2004-0518-134326L1
2003-0430-29111L2
2002-0324-92568L2
2001-0220-102110L2
2000-0129-3219E8
1999-0026-4658L2
1998-9924-71017L2

11. Texas
Last 10 Years: 245-93; JCI Rk: 11 (Prev Rk:15); SOS: 19
2007-08: 30-7; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 2; Tourney: E8
Last 5 Years: 129-43; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 19
First 5 Years: 116-50; JCI Rk: 16; SOS: 24
NCAA Apperances: 10 (16 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0830-752E8
2006-0725-102548L2
2005-0630-7933E8
2004-0519-114447L1
2003-0425-81120S16
2002-0326-765F4
2001-0222-12206S16
2000-0125-91751L1
1999-0024-91814L2
1998-9919-136774L1

10. Wisconsin
Last 10 Years: 234-95; JCI Rk: 10 (Prev Rk:13); SOS: 9
2007-08: 31-5; JCI Rk: 7; SOS: 54; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 130-39; JCI Rk: 6; SOS: 34
First 5 Years: 104-56; JCI Rk: 17; SOS: 4
NCAA Apperances: 10 (14 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0831-5754S16
2006-0730-6935L2
2005-0619-124942L1
2004-0525-91013E8
2003-0425-71843L2
2002-0324-81745S16
2001-0218-134122L2
2000-0118-11249L1
1999-0022-14141F4
1998-9922-10126L1

9. Arizona - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 236-92; JCI Rk: 9 (Prev Rk:6); SOS: 7
2007-08: 18-15; JCI Rk: 41; SOS: 1; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 108-56; JCI Rk: 23; SOS: 10
First 5 Years: 128-36; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 13
NCAA Apperances: 10 (15 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0818-15411L1
2006-0720-11212L1
2005-0620-134118L2
2004-0530-7917E8
2003-0420-106690L1
2002-0328-4342E8
2001-0224-1072S16
2000-0127-832F4
1999-0027-71027L2
1998-9922-72055L1

posted by Jim Colton @ 11:04 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 4 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

THE 4 SEEDS
16. Syracuse - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 242-97; JCI Rk: 16 (Prev Rk:12); SOS: 52
2007-08: 21-14; JCI Rk: 51; SOS: 55; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 118-52; JCI Rk: 22; SOS: 48
First 5 Years: 124-45; JCI Rk: 12; SOS: 45
NCAA Apperances: 7 (11 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 3

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0821-145155None
2006-0724-115996None
2005-0623-122511L1
2004-0527-71862L1
2003-0423-81517S16
2002-0330-512NC
2001-0223-135588None
2000-0125-92158L2
1999-0026-6740S16
1998-9920-124145L1

15. Ohio State
Last 10 Years: 229-101; JCI Rk: 15 (Prev Rk:21); SOS: 24
2007-08: 24-13; JCI Rk: 35; SOS: 39; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 119-51; JCI Rk: 17; SOS: 41
First 5 Years: 110-50; JCI Rk: 15; SOS: 17
NCAA Apperances: 6 (12 wins)
Final Fours: 2
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 2

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0824-133539None
2006-0735-419F4
2005-0626-61356L2
2004-0520-123840None
2003-0414-1610268None
2002-0317-155422None
2001-0224-82355L2
2000-0120-113428L1
1999-0023-71221L2
1998-9926-953F4

14. Gonzaga
Last 10 Years: 261-67; JCI Rk: 14 (Prev Rk:14); SOS: 83
2007-08: 25-8; JCI Rk: 29; SOS: 89; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 131-31; JCI Rk: 13; SOS: 84
First 5 Years: 130-36; JCI Rk: 18; SOS: 83
NCAA Apperances: 10 (12 wins)
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0825-82989L1
2006-0723-116175L1
2005-0629-4887S16
2004-0526-51480L2
2003-0428-312105L2
2002-0324-93886L2
2001-0228-414111L1
2000-0125-73299S16
1999-0026-93072S16
1998-9927-71370E8

13. Maryland - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 231-103; JCI Rk: 13 (Prev Rk:10); SOS: 10
2007-08: 19-15; JCI Rk: 73; SOS: 65; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 101-62; JCI Rk: 30; SOS: 14
First 5 Years: 130-41; JCI Rk: 4; SOS: 10
NCAA Apperances: 7 (17 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 2
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0819-157365None
2006-0725-91934L2
2005-0618-135232None
2004-0519-134229None
2003-0420-12162L2
2002-0321-102329S16
2001-0232-415NC
2000-0125-1177F4
1999-0025-102525L2
1998-9927-6621S16

posted by Jim Colton @ 11:01 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 5 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

THE FIVE SEEDS
20. Oklahoma St
Last 10 Years: 220-103; JCI Rk: 20 (Prev Rk:16); SOS: 42
2007-08: 16-16; JCI Rk: 60; SOS: 9; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 109-56; JCI Rk: 21; SOS: 28
First 5 Years: 111-47; JCI Rk: 19; SOS: 56
NCAA Apperances: 7 (11 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 3

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0816-16609None
2006-0721-136362None
2005-0617-168463None
2004-0525-71119S16
2003-0430-4318F4
2002-0321-102013L2
2001-0223-93046L1
2000-0119-105780L1
1999-0026-7933E8
1998-9922-114375L2

19. Pittsburgh - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 231-96; JCI Rk: 19 (Prev Rk:23); SOS: 37
2007-08: 26-10; JCI Rk: 17; SOS: 18; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 130-40; JCI Rk: 7; SOS: 20
First 5 Years: 101-56; JCI Rk: 36; SOS: 53
NCAA Apperances: 7 (10 wins)
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0826-101718L2
2006-0729-81032S16
2005-0625-81629L2
2004-0520-93148L1
2003-0430-5521S16
2002-0328-5430S16
2001-0228-6960S16
2000-0118-146453None
1999-0013-1511276None
1998-9914-168928None

18. UCLA - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 221-106; JCI Rk: 18 (Prev Rk:18); SOS: 14
2007-08: 34-4; JCI Rk: 4; SOS: 4; Tourney: F4
Last 5 Years: 124-45; JCI Rk: 11; SOS: 18
First 5 Years: 97-61; JCI Rk: 23; SOS: 14
NCAA Apperances: 8 (19 wins)
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 6

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0834-444F4
2006-0729-633F4
2005-0632-7627F4
2004-0518-113627L1
2003-0411-1713593None
2002-0310-1913524None
2001-0221-12223S16
2000-0123-9910S16
1999-0021-123113S16
1998-9922-92339L1

17. Oklahoma
Last 10 Years: 235-92; JCI Rk: 17 (Prev Rk:17); SOS: 46
2007-08: 23-12; JCI Rk: 24; SOS: 11; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 102-54; JCI Rk: 36; SOS: 44
First 5 Years: 133-38; JCI Rk: 9; SOS: 44
NCAA Apperances: 8 (12 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 3

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0823-122411L2
2006-0715-158647None
2005-0620-95077L1
2004-0525-82042L2
2003-0419-103945None
2002-0327-7810E8
2001-0231-539F4
2000-0127-81974L1
1999-0027-72163L2
1998-9921-113663S16

posted by Jim Colton @ 10:59 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 6 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

THE 6 SEEDS
24. Wake Forest
Last 10 Years: 201-120; JCI Rk: 24 (Prev Rk:20); SOS: 12
2007-08: 17-13; JCI Rk: 66; SOS: 69; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 97-62; JCI Rk: 26; SOS: 7
First 5 Years: 104-58; JCI Rk: 20; SOS: 21
NCAA Apperances: 5 (5 wins)
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0817-136669None
2006-0715-167523None
2005-0617-176830None
2004-0527-667L2
2003-0421-10105S16
2002-0325-61146L2
2001-0221-133112L2
2000-0119-112311L1
1999-0022-143426None
1998-9917-144730None

23. Indiana
Last 10 Years: 203-118; JCI Rk: 23 (Prev Rk:22); SOS: 6
2007-08: 25-8; JCI Rk: 27; SOS: 68; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 94-60; JCI Rk: 38; SOS: 22
First 5 Years: 109-58; JCI Rk: 14; SOS: 3
NCAA Apperances: 8 (9 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0825-82768L1
2006-0721-112622L2
2005-0619-123312L2
2004-0515-146123None
2003-0414-157536None
2002-0321-132712L2
2001-0224-1281F4
2000-0121-132912L1
1999-0020-9227L1
1998-9923-111612L2

22. Tennessee - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 204-110; JCI Rk: 22 (Prev Rk:24); SOS: 16
2007-08: 30-5; JCI Rk: 6; SOS: 15; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 105-54; JCI Rk: 18; SOS: 6
First 5 Years: 99-56; JCI Rk: 24; SOS: 33
NCAA Apperances: 6 (8 wins)
Sweet 16's: 3

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0830-5615S16
2006-0724-11144S16
2005-0622-81413L2
2004-0514-179632None
2003-0415-135519None
2002-0317-124743None
2001-0214-166713None
2000-0122-123022L1
1999-0025-71646S16
1998-9921-92444L2

21. Memphis - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 244-96; JCI Rk: 21 (Prev Rk:28); SOS: 77
2007-08: 38-2; JCI Rk: 2; SOS: 48; Tourney: F4
Last 5 Years: 148-34; JCI Rk: 4; SOS: 74
First 5 Years: 96-62; JCI Rk: 62; SOS: 80
NCAA Apperances: 5 (12 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 3

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0838-2248F4
2006-0733-4485E8
2005-0633-4568E8
2004-0522-167983None
2003-0422-82542L2
2002-0323-72882L1
2001-0226-940114None
2000-0120-156870None
1999-0014-1610997None
1998-9913-1511676None

posted by Jim Colton @ 10:57 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 7 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

THE 7 SEEDS
28. Notre Dame
Last 10 Years: 202-116; JCI Rk: 28 (Prev Rk:32); SOS: 35
2007-08: 25-8; JCI Rk: 20; SOS: 53; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 99-54; JCI Rk: 35; SOS: 40
First 5 Years: 103-62; JCI Rk: 31; SOS: 34
NCAA Apperances: 5 (5 wins)
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0825-82053L2
2006-0724-82873L1
2005-0616-145722None
2004-0517-125354None
2003-0417-124016None
2002-0324-1093S16
2001-0221-113731L2
2000-0122-113750L2
1999-0022-154032None
1998-9914-1510259None

27. Villanova
Last 10 Years: 204-119; JCI Rk: 27 (Prev Rk:25); SOS: 26
2007-08: 22-13; JCI Rk: 34; SOS: 25; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 110-52; JCI Rk: 16; SOS: 8
First 5 Years: 94-67; JCI Rk: 48; SOS: 50
NCAA Apperances: 5 (7 wins)
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 3

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0822-133425S16
2006-0721-113831L1
2005-0628-543E8
2004-0524-81324S16
2003-0415-156115None
2002-0315-167440None
2001-0219-135150None
2000-0120-144327None
1999-0020-135068None
1998-9920-114056L1

26. Cincinnati - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 222-102; JCI Rk: 26 (Prev Rk:19); SOS: 66
2007-08: 13-19; JCI Rk: 104; SOS: 14; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 94-66; JCI Rk: 51; SOS: 46
First 5 Years: 128-36; JCI Rk: 13; SOS: 67
NCAA Apperances: 7 (7 wins)
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0813-1910414None
2006-0711-1915663None
2005-0620-133617None
2004-0525-82565L2
2003-0425-72459L2
2002-0317-126161L1
2001-0231-4674L2
2000-0125-102865S16
1999-0029-4555L2
1998-9926-61468L2

25. Louisville - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 215-109; JCI Rk: 25 (Prev Rk:29); SOS: 53
2007-08: 27-9; JCI Rk: 12; SOS: 5; Tourney: E8
Last 5 Years: 122-47; JCI Rk: 15; SOS: 35
First 5 Years: 93-62; JCI Rk: 50; SOS: 63
NCAA Apperances: 7 (9 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 2

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0827-9125E8
2006-0723-103553L2
2005-0621-134844None
2004-0531-5328F4
2003-0420-103844L1
2002-0325-71855L2
2001-0219-136968None
2000-0112-1911562None
1999-0018-124952L1
1998-9919-113441L1

posted by Jim Colton @ 10:55 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 8 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

THE 8 SEEDS
32. North Carolina St
Last 10 Years: 192-134; JCI Rk: 32 (Prev Rk:26); SOS: 13
2007-08: 15-16; JCI Rk: 81; SOS: 31; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 99-66; JCI Rk: 28; SOS: 4
First 5 Years: 93-68; JCI Rk: 47; SOS: 28
NCAA Apperances: 5 (5 wins)
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0815-168131None
2006-0720-166430None
2005-0622-102734L2
2004-0521-14284S16
2003-0421-10136L2
2002-0318-134934L1
2001-0223-112519L2
2000-0113-168315None
1999-0020-145353None
1998-9919-145038None

31. Mississippi St
Last 10 Years: 207-115; JCI Rk: 31 (Prev Rk:34); SOS: 58
2007-08: 23-11; JCI Rk: 42; SOS: 64; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 108-55; JCI Rk: 29; SOS: 51
First 5 Years: 99-60; JCI Rk: 45; SOS: 52
NCAA Apperances: 5 (4 wins)

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0823-114264L2
2006-0721-144627None
2005-0615-157846None
2004-0523-113253L2
2003-0426-4848L2
2002-0321-102627L1
2001-0227-81642L2
2000-0118-134943None
1999-0014-1612067None
1998-9919-135860None

30. Georgetown - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 207-116; JCI Rk: 30 (Prev Rk:36); SOS: 39
2007-08: 28-6; JCI Rk: 10; SOS: 40; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 113-51; JCI Rk: 19; SOS: 23
First 5 Years: 94-65; JCI Rk: 49; SOS: 51
NCAA Apperances: 4 (9 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 3

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0828-61040L2
2006-0730-7614F4
2005-0623-10156S16
2004-0519-134949None
2003-0413-1510955None
2002-0319-155325None
2001-0218-114958None
2000-0125-82075S16
1999-0018-156347None
1998-9914-168832None

29. Xavier
Last 10 Years: 238-93; JCI Rk: 29 (Prev Rk:30); SOS: 79
2007-08: 30-7; JCI Rk: 13; SOS: 37; Tourney: E8
Last 5 Years: 119-50; JCI Rk: 37; SOS: 77
First 5 Years: 119-43; JCI Rk: 29; SOS: 84
NCAA Apperances: 7 (9 wins)
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 2

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0830-71337E8
2006-0725-95199L2
2005-0621-116993L1
2004-0517-12113147None
2003-0426-112229E8
2002-0326-62289L2
2001-0226-61261L2
2000-0121-84185L1
1999-0021-1277113None
1998-9925-1144104None

posted by Jim Colton @ 10:51 AM, ,

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 9 Seeds

It's that time of the year again. Now that the basketball season is over, let's update the final Colton Index rankings for the year and add 2007-08 to the record books. That means we can update my last 10 year rankings by replacing 1997-98 with 1998-99. Previous versions of my 10-year rankings have received more attention than one of my normal blog posts (which means about 10 hits instead of 1 or 2, if my math is correct that's up to a 500% increase in readership. How many blogs can say that?)

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

We'll group the teams by seed and list them one at a time, building up a to an anti-climatic announcement of the 1 seeds in the next week or so. Stay tuned and enjoy!

36. Iowa - ON THE DECLINE (but they did win the Big Ten Tournament in 2006 and 2001)
Last 10 Years: 185-135; JCI Rk: 36 (Prev Rk:31); SOS: 25
2007-08: 13-19; JCI Rk: 160; SOS: 74; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 92-66; JCI Rk: 55; SOS: 57
First 5 Years: 93-69; JCI Rk: 33; SOS: 9
NCAA Apperances: 4 (3 wins)
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0813-1916074None
2006-0717-147852None
2005-0625-92339L1
2004-0521-123018L1
2003-0416-126761None
2002-0317-147071None
2001-0219-166536None
2000-0123-132721L2
1999-0014-16362None
1998-9920-10114S16

35. Marquette
Last 10 Years: 199-111; JCI Rk: 35 (Prev Rk:42); SOS: 69
2007-08: 24-10; JCI Rk: 19; SOS: 16; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 100-54; JCI Rk: 42; SOS: 67
First 5 Years: 99-57; JCI Rk: 46; SOS: 70
NCAA Apperances: 5 (5 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0824-101916L2
2006-0723-103955L1
2005-0619-114026L1
2004-0518-1285100None
2003-0416-117979None
2002-0327-6718F4
2001-0226-71869L1
2000-0117-158779None
1999-0015-148973None
1998-9914-1511998None

34. Oregon
Last 10 Years: 194-120; JCI Rk: 34 (Prev Rk:38); SOS: 56
2007-08: 18-14; JCI Rk: 49; SOS: 12; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 90-65; JCI Rk: 49; SOS: 42
First 5 Years: 104-55; JCI Rk: 35; SOS: 57
NCAA Apperances: 5 (6 wins)
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 2

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0818-144912L1
2006-0729-8817E8
2005-0614-1811358None
2004-0514-136835None
2003-0415-129389None
2002-0323-104275L1
2001-0225-91325E8
2000-0117-157849None
1999-0021-83249L1
1998-9918-134953None

33. Alabama
Last 10 Years: 197-124; JCI Rk: 33 (Prev Rk:27); SOS: 31
2007-08: 17-16; JCI Rk: 97; SOS: 78; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 98-62; JCI Rk: 34; SOS: 17
First 5 Years: 99-62; JCI Rk: 42; SOS: 47
NCAA Apperances: 5 (5 wins)
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 1

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0817-169778None
2006-0720-124336None
2005-0618-13399L2
2004-0523-82441L1
2003-0420-13218E8
2002-0317-124831L1
2001-0227-81541L2
2000-0125-113666None
1999-0013-1610166None
1998-9917-155326None

posted by Jim Colton @ 10:32 AM, ,

The Author:

Jim Colton

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Jim lives in Wheaton, IL and when he's not rooting for the Fighting Illini, playing golf, thinking about golf, or masterminding fantasy basketball trades, he has a day job as a banker in Chicago.

About This Blog:

This blog is dedicated to college hoops and the Colton Index college basketball ratings.

Contact Me:

jcolton31@gmail.com


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Jim Colton
    I'm Jim Colton From Wheaton, IL Jim lives in Wheaton, IL and when he's not rooting for the Fighting Illini, playing golf, thinking about golf, or masterminding fantasy basketball trades, he has a day job as a banker in Chicago
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